by Sans_Deity » Mon Jul 30, 2007 7:42 pm
I think there are a few problems with that hypothetical.
First, we already know that the universe isn't purely deterministic which means the answer must be "Yes" - even if we only consider the cascading effects of quantum indeterminism.
I'm not arguing that random (so far as we can tell) fluctuations can fully account for free will. I'm simply stating that I'm convinced that the hard determinism position is false, and soft determinism doesn't necessarily represent an incompatibility with free will.
Second, the hypothetical position confuses "scope" by extending the idea of determinism from the context in which it might apply (particle-level) to a context in which it might not strictly apply (emergent phenomena, like consciousness).
As I said during the Free Will debate, we're forced to describe things from the vantage point we have. Even if we don't actually have free will, we have the illusion of free will and it's indistinguishable from actual free will. As Dennett has pointed out, you can't imagine a will that's 'more free'...but we can certainly identify limitations imposed from without that minimize your freedom - so it seems reasonable to discuss the topic from that point of view, rather than from a pretended omniscience. (We can't ever truly know all of the factors that your hypothetical takes into account - so we can't justify the "no" answer.)
While I find free will discussions interesting (and I've bounced around to different ideas), ultimately I find the issue irrelevant. You might be a brain in a vat - but there's nothing you can do about that, so you live as if you aren't (how would you live as though you were a brain in a vat?)...likewise, we may be pure creatures of determinism and consciousness and free will are illusions - but there's nothing you can do about that either, so you live as if you have free will (and, again, how would you live as though you didn't?).
Third, the hypothetical includes all of the things that make up free will by asserting that "personal preferences, everything is the same" - which means the answer is, as far as I can tell, "No". (Edited this...it used to say "Yes", that was a mistake and it caused confusion. Sorry)
That, to me, seems to be the critical mistake if we're going to try to determine whether or not you could have done differently if you had wanted to. Personal preference isn't a 'known', it's a significant factor in determining what actions one is likely to take.
Last edited by
Sans_Deity on Tue Jul 31, 2007 5:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.